Match

Crawley Town vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex

Crawley TownPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Port Vale?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,688).

28%28%44%
Crawley Town winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crawley Town

4-4-2
  1. 14G. Di Biase
  2. 9D. Orsi
  1. 20J. Arthurs
  2. 22A. Adeyemo
  3. 30Kai Jennings
  4. 10S. Duke-McKenna
  1. 6P. Farquharson
  2. 5C. Barker
  3. 12L. Richards
  4. 24A. Odimayo
  1. 1V. Mannone

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Port Vale have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crawley Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Salford City(away)1-2League Two
Oct 10, 2026Chesterfield(home)2-2League Two
Oct 6, 2026Bromley(home)4-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Milton Keynes Dons(away)1-4EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Grimsby(away)0-2League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 5 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 12, 2022Port Vale 4-1 Crawley TownLeague Two
Oct 30, 2021Crawley Town 1-4 Port ValeLeague Two
Mar 27, 2021Crawley Town 1-3 Port ValeLeague Two
Sep 12, 2020Port Vale 2-0 Crawley TownLeague Two
Dec 14, 2019Crawley Town 0-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Jan 19, 2019Crawley Town 0-1 Port ValeLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Crawley Town on Mar 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crawley Town1.11.728/158/15
Port Vale0.90.974/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (5 points from 9 matches) and Port Vale sit 21st (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
21Port Vale93245911
24Crawley Town91269175

A question about Crawley Town vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Crawley Town.
Where and when is Crawley Town vs Port Vale played?
Crawley Town vs Port Vale is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Crawley Town and Port Vale

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