Carlisle vs Derby: result 0-2 and analysis
League Cup1st RoundKick-off on August 11, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Derby?
Derby won 0-2 on August 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 62′J. HendrickDerby
- 90′C. MartinDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2014 | Luton(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Apr 29, 2014 | Crawley Town(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Peterborough(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2014 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| May 24, 2014 | QPR(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 11, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| May 8, 2014 | Brighton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| May 3, 2014 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 0.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 0.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby | 2.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy