Carlisle vs Grimsby: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 2, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Grimsby?
Grimsby won 0-1 on October 2, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 38′L. HendrieGrimsby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Stevenage(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Tranmere(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Oldham(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Bury(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Notts County(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Carlisle win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Grimsby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby | League Two |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Grimsby 0-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Jan 2, 2017 | Carlisle 1-3 Grimsby | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2016 | Grimsby 2-2 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Grimsby | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy