Carlisle vs Hartlepool: result 3-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 1, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Hartlepool?
Carlisle won 3-1 on October 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. HarperCarlisle
- 46′J. FrancisHartlepool
- 77′G. KellyCarlisle
- 89′M. FeeneyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Hartlepool have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Rochdale(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | York(away) | 0-5 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Altrincham(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Aldershot Town(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Truro City(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Tamworth(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Gateshead(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Brackley Town(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Forest Green(away) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carlisle win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle | League Two |
| Jan 18, 2022 | Carlisle 0-0 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Carlisle 3-3 Hartlepool | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Hartlepool 2-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Hartlepool 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Hartlepool on Jan 24, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.8 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carlisle sit 12th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy