Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Huish Park Stadium, Yeovil, Somerset
The Footlab AI model makes Yeovil Town the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool?
Yeovil Town starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,875 vs 1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yeovil Town
4-3-3- 19S. Spasov
- 11J. Daly
- 9S. Walker
- 14B. McGavin
- 12A. Davies
- 10R. Jones
- 3J. Norville-Williams
- 4H. Muller
- 5Jack Kingdon
- 16B. Radcliffe
- 1J. Barker
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeovil Town have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 6-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 6-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yeovil Town win, 1 draw, 4 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hartlepool 0-2 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Yeovil Town 0-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Hartlepool 2-1 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Yeovil Town 0-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Hartlepool 2-1 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Yeovil Town 1-3 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Yeovil Town on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yeovil Town score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeovil Town | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yeovil Town sit 4th in National League (25 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yeovil Town | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yeovil Town the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool played?
- Yeovil Town vs Hartlepool is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Huish Park Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.