Carlisle vs Luton: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 9, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Luton?
Luton won 0-1 on August 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 30′M. CullenLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Luton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Apr 29, 2014 | Crawley Town(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Peterborough(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Forest Green(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Welling United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Braintree(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Apr 8, 2014 | Tamworth(home) | 2-0 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Luton | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy