Carlisle vs Luton: result 1-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 21, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Luton?
Carlisle and Luton drew 1-1 on April 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 13′D. GraingerCarlisle (pen.)
- 62′Oliver Robert LeeLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Luton have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2018 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Swindon Town(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Mar 30, 2018 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2018 | Crewe(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2018 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Mar 30, 2018 | Colchester(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Barnet(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carlisle win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Luton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2017 | Luton 3-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Carlisle 0-0 Luton | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Luton 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Carlisle 1-2 Luton | League Two |
| Nov 24, 2015 | Luton 3-4 Carlisle | League Two |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Luton 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Luton | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy