Carlisle vs Newport County: result 3-2 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Newport County?
Carlisle won 3-2 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′K. EvansNewport County
- 28′B. KamwaNewport County
- 33′G. KellyCarlisle
- 59′G. KellyCarlisle
- 84′A. HaydenCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Newport County have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Doncaster(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | Bromley(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Grimsby(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-5 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carlisle win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Newport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Newport County 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Carlisle 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Newport County 1-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2022 | Carlisle 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Newport County 2-2 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2021 | Newport County 0-0 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Carlisle on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Newport County | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy