Newport County vs Walsall: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newport County wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Walsall?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Newport County (1,718) and Walsall (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Walsall
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 11J. Crole
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 19G. Garner
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 12Joe Thomas
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 1J. Wright
Walsall
4-2-3-1- 19A. Pressley
- 7Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
- 15Isaac Moore
- 11R. Smith
- 8C. Crew
- 10L. Simper
- 4J. Connolly
- 25D. Skura
- 3M. Hancock
- 22E. Ahui
- 1J. Ward
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Walsall have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newport County win, 2 draws, 3 Walsall wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Walsall 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Newport County 2-4 Walsall | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Newport County 0-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Walsall 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Walsall 0-3 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Newport County 3-3 Walsall | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Walsall vs Newport County on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Walsall score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Walsall | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Newport County vs Walsall?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Walsall?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newport County the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Walsall played?
- Newport County vs Walsall is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.