Carlisle vs Northampton: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 20, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Northampton?
Carlisle won 2-1 on December 20, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 17′Troy Archibald-HenvilleCarlisle
- 45′Marc RichardsNorthampton (pen.)
- 61′B. PottsCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Northampton have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | Exeter City(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Newport County(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2014 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | Plymouth(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Southend(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Rochdale(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 14, 2014 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Northampton | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy