Northampton vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,585 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Fleetwood Town?
On Elo ratings, Northampton has 1,570 points and Fleetwood Town 1,686.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 7S. Hoskins
- 19O. Dale
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 44J. Donacien
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 1Z. Jeacock
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 10M. Helm
- 15A. Murphy
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 26S. Rooney
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | York(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Northampton wins, 1 draw, 3 Fleetwood Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Northampton 3-0 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 Northampton | League One |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Northampton 1-0 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton | League One |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Northampton 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Northampton on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 21st in League Two (14 points from 13 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 16th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Northampton vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Fleetwood Town played?
- Northampton vs Fleetwood Town is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.