Carlisle vs Plymouth: result 1-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 13, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
Full time
What was the result of Carlisle vs Plymouth?
Carlisle won 1-0 on August 13, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 37′R. LambeCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Plymouth have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2016 | Port Vale(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| May 7, 2016 | Notts County(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Oxford United(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2016 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Luton(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| May 30, 2016 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| May 15, 2016 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| May 12, 2016 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Carlisle win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Plymouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | Carlisle 0-2 Plymouth | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Plymouth 0-2 Carlisle | FA Cup |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Plymouth 4-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Carlisle 2-0 Plymouth | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Plymouth 1-0 Carlisle | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth score 1.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy