Carlisle vs Portsmouth: result 4-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 25, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
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What was the result of Carlisle vs Portsmouth?
Carlisle won 4-2 on August 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. JervisCarlisle
- 48′Daniel Richard LiveseyCarlisle
- 90′A. HarrisPortsmouth
- 90′James Trevor BerrettCarlisle
- 90′Conor Paul CliffordPortsmouth
- 90′P. MaddenCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carlisle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Portsmouth have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2012 | Tranmere(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 5, 2012 | Oldham(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Exeter City(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2012 | Colchester(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Plymouth(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Derby(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Carlisle score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy