Carolina Core vs New England II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Truist Point Stadium, High Point, North Carolina
The Footlab model makes New England II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Carolina Core. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carolina Core vs New England II?
New England II starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carolina Core have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; New England II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(home) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntsville City(home) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 3-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(home) | 1-5 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Miami II(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | New York City II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inter Miami II(away) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 3-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Connecticut FC(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | New York RB II(away) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Carolina Core win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 New England II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Carolina Core 1-0 New England II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Carolina Core 2-1 New England II | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | New England II 2-1 Carolina Core | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Carolina Core vs New England II on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Carolina Core score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; New England II score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| New England II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carolina Core sit 7th in MLS Next Pro (26 points from 24 matches) and New England II sit 4th (42 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | New England II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 3 | New England II | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 28 | 42 |
| 4 | New England II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 23 | 8 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 40 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carolina Core vs New England II?
- The Footlab model makes New England II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Carolina Core.
- Where and when is Carolina Core vs New England II played?
- Carolina Core vs New England II is played on September 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Truist Point Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC