Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cliftonville FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Carrick Rangers (1,537) and Cliftonville FC (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrick Rangers have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Cliftonville FC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Carrick Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Cliftonville FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC 1-4 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 0-1 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-3 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 3-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrick Rangers score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cliftonville FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cliftonville FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrick Rangers sit 6th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Cliftonville FC sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cliftonville FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC?
- The Footlab model makes Carrick Rangers the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Cliftonville FC.
- Where and when is Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC played?
- Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Loughview Leisure Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.