Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stangmore Park, Dungannon
The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dungannon Swifts have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Linfield have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dungannon Swifts win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Linfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Linfield 3-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Linfield | Premiership |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Linfield | Premiership |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Linfield 6-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Linfield 3-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Linfield 0-0 Dungannon Swifts | Charity Shield |
Last archived meeting: Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dungannon Swifts sit 5th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Linfield sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield?
- The Footlab model makes Linfield the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield played?
- Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stangmore Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.