Carroi vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria
The Footlab model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Carroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carroi vs Penya Encarnada?
Penya Encarnada starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,452 vs 1,325).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carroi have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 0-5 | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 22, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | Ranger's(home) | 1-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carroi win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Penya Encarnada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 0-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Carroi 0-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 2-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| May 12, 2024 | Carroi 0-2 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Penya Encarnada 4-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Carroi 0-2 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Penya Encarnada vs Carroi on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carroi score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carroi | 0.5 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carroi sit 8th in 1a Divisió (17 points from 24 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 6th (24 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 24 |
| 8 | Carroi | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carroi vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Carroi.
- Where and when is Carroi vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Carroi vs Penya Encarnada is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.