Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Esperança d'Andorra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
Ordino starts as the favourite with a 251-point Elo edge (1,435 vs 1,184).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esperança d'Andorra have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ordino have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| May 23, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(away) | 3-1 | 1a Divisió |
| May 16, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 1-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Carroi(home) | 5-0 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Esperança d'Andorra win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ordino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ordino 2-2 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra 1-2 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ordino 1-1 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Ordino 1-1 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Esperança d'Andorra 2-2 Ordino | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Ordino 3-1 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Ordino vs Esperança d'Andorra on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esperança d'Andorra score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ordino score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esperança d'Andorra | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ordino | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esperança d'Andorra sit 9th in 1a Divisió (11 points from 24 matches) and Ordino sit 7th (22 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ordino | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 42 | 22 |
| 9 | Esperança d'Andorra | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 47 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
- The Footlab model makes Ordino the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Esperança d'Andorra.
- Where and when is Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino played?
- Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.