Carroi vs Penya Encarnada: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, Sant Julià de Lòria
The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Carroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penya Encarnada wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carroi vs Penya Encarnada?
Penya Encarnada starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,380 vs 1,233).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carroi vs Penya Encarnada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carroi
4-3-3- 28O. Nzagne
- 17B. Diarra
- 46K. Nath
- 21M. L. Grimm
- 22D. Traore
- 8M. Nelson
- 19K. Dagnet
- 3Q. Laffont
- 4G. Mazzarino
- 7A. Baaloul
- 69C. Santis
Penya Encarnada
4-3-3- 10D. Farhat
- 19Sascha
- 27I. Pinilla
- 8J. Garcia
- 6E. M. Freixas
- 12A. Ricardo
- 3F. Rabago
- 5F. Molina
- 33G. V. Quichini dos Santos
- 2R. M. Mesquita Lopes de Souza
- 41M. Olmo
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carroi have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Penya Encarnada have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(home) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 2-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ranger's(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penya Encarnada(home) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(away) | 0-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 0-1 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casa de Portugal(away) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carroi wins, 3 draws, 3 Penya Encarnada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carroi 2-2 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Penya Encarnada 0-0 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Carroi 0-0 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Penya Encarnada 2-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
| May 12, 2024 | Carroi 0-2 Penya Encarnada | 1a Divisió |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Penya Encarnada 4-1 Carroi | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: Carroi vs Penya Encarnada on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carroi score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penya Encarnada score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carroi | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Penya Encarnada | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carroi sit 10th in 1a Divisió (1 point from 7 matches) and Penya Encarnada sit 8th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Carroi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
A question about Carroi vs Penya Encarnada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carroi vs Penya Encarnada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penya Encarnada the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Carroi.
- Where and when is Carroi vs Penya Encarnada played?
- Carroi vs Penya Encarnada is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Aixovall, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.