Match

Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Escaldes: prediction and stats

1a DivisióRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Casa de PortugalSporting Escaldes

The Footlab model makes Casa de Portugal the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Escaldes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Escaldes?

Casa de Portugal starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,260 vs 1,045).

Casa de Portugal win44 %
Draw25 %
Sporting Escaldes win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Casa de Portugal have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Sporting Escaldes have 1, 0 and 14.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casa de Portugal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 12, 2026Inter Club d'Escaldes(home)1-4Copa Constitució
Jan 11, 2026Carroi(away)0-0Copa Constitució
Sporting Escaldes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 27, 2026Esperança d'Andorra(away)0-21a Divisió
May 23, 2026Esperança d'Andorra(home)1-31a Divisió
Jan 11, 2026FC Santa Coloma(away)1-5Copa Constitució
Apr 14, 2019La Massana(away)1-62a Divisió
Apr 7, 2019Extremenya(home)5-32a Divisió

How many goals should we expect?

Casa de Portugal score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Sporting Escaldes score 1.2 and concede 5.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casa de Portugal0.52.011/21/2
Sporting Escaldes1.25.509/1514/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Escaldes?
The Footlab model makes Casa de Portugal the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Sporting Escaldes.
Where and when is Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Escaldes played?
Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Escaldes is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 1a Divisió.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Casa de Portugal and Sporting Escaldes

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