Sporting Escaldes vs Casa de Portugal: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, Ordino
The Footlab model makes Casa de Portugal the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sporting Escaldes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Escaldes vs Casa de Portugal?
Casa de Portugal starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,259 vs 1,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Escaldes have 1 wins, 0 draws and 14 defeats; Casa de Portugal have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(away) | 0-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 23, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra(home) | 1-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 1-5 | Copa Constitució |
| Apr 14, 2019 | La Massana(away) | 1-6 | 2a Divisió |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Extremenya(home) | 5-3 | 2a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 1-4 | Copa Constitució |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Carroi(away) | 0-0 | Copa Constitució |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Escaldes score 1.2 and concede 5.5 goals per match over their last 15; Casa de Portugal score 0.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Escaldes | 1.2 | 5.5 | 0 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Casa de Portugal | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Escaldes vs Casa de Portugal?
- The Footlab model makes Casa de Portugal the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sporting Escaldes.
- Where and when is Sporting Escaldes vs Casa de Portugal played?
- Sporting Escaldes vs Casa de Portugal is played on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de Futbol d'Ordino, in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.