Casa Pia vs Estrela: result 3-5 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Full time
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Estrela?
Estrela won 3-5 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 34′CassianoCasa Pia
- 36′KikasEstrela
- 45′S. Lopes CabralEstrela (pen.)
- 48′I. MohamedCasa Pia
- 65′S. Lopes CabralEstrela (pen.)
- 67′Paulo MoreiraEstrela
- 82′S. Lopes CabralEstrela
- 85′José FonteCasa Pia
Official lineup for Casa Pia vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Casa Pia
3-4-3- 7K. Nsona
- 90Cassiano
- 29J. Livolant
- 18Geraldes
- 74Renato Nhaga
- 24I. Mohamed
- 72Gaizka Larrazabal
- 43David Sousa
- 6José Fonte
- 27Kaique Rocha
- 1P. Sequeira
Estrela
3-4-3- 18Jorge Meireles
- 98Kikas
- 99A. Marcus
- 55S. Lopes Cabral
- 6O. Ngom
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 17Jefferson Encada
- 83Otávio
- 79A. Chernev
- 30Luan Patrick
- 40Renan Ribeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Estrela have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ançã(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alpendorada(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 4, 2025 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tondela(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Casa Pia wins, 1 draw, 2 Estrela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Casa Pia 1-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Estrela 0-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Estrela 3-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Casa Pia 0-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Estrela 1-1 Casa Pia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Casa Pia 3-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 17th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Casa Pia vs Estrela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy