Casa Sport vs Diambars: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Aline Sitoé Diatta, Ziguinchor
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 29% for Casa Sport, 38% for a draw, 33% for Diambars. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casa Sport vs Diambars?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Casa Sport (1,612) and Diambars (1,553).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casa Sport vs Diambars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casa Sport
4-3-3- 5P. Badji
- 31B. Coly
- 32N. Sagna
- 8I. Kane
- 4L. Trawally
- 35M. Sambou
- 24M. Ndiaye
- 17M. Camara
- 3F. Jammeh
- 19B. Faye
- 30P. Dampha
Diambars
4-3-3- 10M. Diaw
- 11B. Mboup
- 30S. Manga
- 5I. Boye
- 21C. Bodian
- 27Mouhamed Guèye I
- 24B. Sané
- 4B. Diallo
- 13C. Faye
- 25C. Diouf
- 1E. Sakho
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Sport have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Diambars have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guédiawaye(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wally Daan(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HLM(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | DSC(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 22, 2026 | Jaraaf(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AJEL(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | HLM(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Essamaye(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Casa Sport wins, 1 draw, 3 Diambars wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Casa Sport 1-0 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Diambars 3-0 Casa Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Casa Sport 0-1 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Diambars 3-1 Casa Sport | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2022 | Casa Sport 2-1 Diambars | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Diambars 0-0 Casa Sport | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Casa Sport vs Diambars on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Sport score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Diambars score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Sport | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Diambars | 0.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Sport sit 13th in Ligue 1 (2 points from 3 matches) and Diambars sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Diambars | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Casa Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
A question about Casa Sport vs Diambars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casa Sport vs Diambars?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 29% for Casa Sport, 38% for a draw, 33% for Diambars.
- Where and when is Casa Sport vs Diambars played?
- Casa Sport vs Diambars is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Aline Sitoé Diatta, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.