Caspe vs Belchite 97: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Los Rosales, Caspe
The Footlab model makes Caspe the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Belchite 97. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caspe vs Belchite 97?
Caspe starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caspe have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Belchite 97 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 10, 2026 | Utrillas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Casetas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Zuera(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Épila(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Robres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caspe win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Belchite 97 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Belchite 97 1-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Caspe 0-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Caspe 2-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Belchite 97 0-0 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Caspe 1-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Belchite 97 3-3 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caspe score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belchite 97 score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caspe | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Belchite 97 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caspe sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (53 points from 34 matches) and Belchite 97 sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38 | 26 | 53 |
| 15 | Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 43 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caspe vs Belchite 97?
- The Footlab model makes Caspe the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Belchite 97.
- Where and when is Caspe vs Belchite 97 played?
- Caspe vs Belchite 97 is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Los Rosales, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.