Caspe vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Los Rosales, Caspe
The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fraga. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caspe vs Fraga?
On Elo ratings, Caspe has 1,823 points and Fraga 1,731.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caspe vs Fraga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caspe
Not enough data to predict the Caspe lineup.
Fraga
4-3-3- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIvan Visa
- IIván Combes
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caspe have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Fraga have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Épila(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Binéfar(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Caspe wins, 2 draws, 0 Fraga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Fraga 0-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Caspe 1-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 12, 2024 | Fraga 1-1 Caspe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Caspe 1-0 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caspe score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caspe | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Fraga | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caspe sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (9 points from 6 matches) and Fraga sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Caspe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Caspe vs Fraga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caspe vs Fraga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caspe the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fraga.
- Where and when is Caspe vs Fraga played?
- Caspe vs Fraga is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Los Rosales, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.