La Almunia vs Atlético Monzón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, La Almunia de Doña Godina
The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for La Almunia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Almunia vs Atlético Monzón?
Atlético Monzón starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Almunia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Monzón have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Robres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Épila(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Belchite 97(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utrillas(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 30, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 24, 2026 | Épila(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 16, 2026 | Épila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 10, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Almunia win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Atlético Monzón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Atlético Monzón 2-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | La Almunia 1-4 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Atlético Monzón 2-0 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | La Almunia 2-1 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | La Almunia 0-2 Atlético Monzón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Atlético Monzón 2-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Monzón vs La Almunia on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Almunia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Monzón score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Almunia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Monzón | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Almunia sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (47 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Monzón sit 3rd (73 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Monzón | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 37 | 73 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Almunia vs Atlético Monzón?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Monzón the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for La Almunia.
- Where and when is La Almunia vs Atlético Monzón played?
- La Almunia vs Atlético Monzón is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.