Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 17Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, Castro Daire
The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Beira-Mar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castro Daire wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Castro Daire (1,787) and Beira-Mar (1,865).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castro Daire
4-3-3- MMarcel
- JJoão Rianço
- PPaulo Rodrigues
- TTiago Almeida
- FFred Lopes
- DDiogo
- FFilipe Soares
- PPica
- TTomás César
- RRui Pinto
- TTomás Correia
Beira-Mar
Not enough data to predict the Beira-Mar lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro Daire have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Beira-Mar have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salgueiros(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ovarense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Castro Daire win, 1 draw, 3 Beira-Mar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Beira-Mar 1-1 Castro Daire | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Castro Daire 0-1 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Beira-Mar 1-0 Castro Daire | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Castro Daire 2-1 Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Beira-Mar 2-0 Castro Daire | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Beira-Mar vs Castro Daire on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castro Daire score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Beira-Mar score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro Daire | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Beira-Mar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro Daire sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (7 points from 4 matches) and Beira-Mar sit 10th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Beira-Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
A question about Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Beira-Mar.
- Where and when is Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar played?
- Castro Daire vs Beira-Mar is played on February 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo Castro Daire, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.