Castro vs Guarnizo: result 3-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Guarnizo?
Castro won 3-2 on February 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′Rubén GagoGuarnizo
- 40′Izan CocaCastro
- 46′Ander LambeaCastro
- 56′Iker IglesiasCastro
- 59′Marcos CagigasGuarnizo
Official lineup for Castro vs Guarnizo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Castro
- CCristiano
- ÃÃlvaro Alonso
- MMarcos Velar
- AAnder Lambea
- XXabier Lastra
- AAnder Barreras
- XXabier Jáuregui Recio
- IIker Iglesias
- IIzan Coca
- JJon Díez
- JJuanje
Guarnizo
- GGuille Ocejo
- RRafa Rivero
- RRubén Gago
- JJavier Muñoz
- VVíctor Pérez
- MManu Viadero
- MMarcos Cagigas
- LLeguina
- RRubén Obeso
- IIzan Vega
- MMario Puente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guarnizo have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Barquereño(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tropezón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Barreda(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Torina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Siete Villas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Monte(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Vimenor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Barquereño(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Castro wins, 3 draws, 1 Guarnizo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Guarnizo 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Castro 3-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Guarnizo 4-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Guarnizo | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Guarnizo sit 11th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Castro vs Guarnizo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy