Castro vs Naval: result 1-0 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 12Kick-off on November 26, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Naval?
Castro won 1-0 on November 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′Ander LambeaCastro (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Naval have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | Laredo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Velarde(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Sámano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Guarnizo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Velarde(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Sámano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Cartes(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Castro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Naval win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Naval 1-2 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Castro 1-2 Naval | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Castro 0-2 Naval | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Naval 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naval score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Naval | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 47 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy