Castro vs Noja: result 2-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on October 12, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Noja?
Castro won 2-1 on October 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′581167Castro
- 54′581168Noja
- 88′581169Castro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Noja have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Montañas Pas(home) | 9-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Escobedo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Vimenor(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cayón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Montañas Pas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Escobedo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Vimenor(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Castro win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Noja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | Noja 1-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Castro 0-0 Noja | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noja score 0.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Noja | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (38 points from 34 matches) and Noja sit 18th (19 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 47 | 38 |
| 18 | Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 68 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy