Castrovillari vs Afragolese: result 0-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 26Kick-off on February 4, 2024 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Castrovillari Mimmo Rende, Castrovillari
Full time
What was the result of Castrovillari vs Afragolese?
Afragolese won 0-2 on February 4, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 36′Christian Nicolás Sosa De LucaAfragolese
- 41′V. SarnoAfragolese (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castrovillari have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Afragolese have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Akragas(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Vibonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Trapani 1905(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Ragusa(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Città Di Sant’Agata(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | Trapani 1905(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Ragusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Città Di Sant’Agata(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Nuova Gioiese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Licata(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Castrovillari wins, 0 draws, 1 Afragolese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Afragolese 3-2 Castrovillari | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Afragolese vs Castrovillari on Oct 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Castrovillari score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Afragolese score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castrovillari | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Afragolese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy