Afragolese vs Castrovillari: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 7Kick-off on October 8, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Iorio, Casalnuovo
Full time
What was the result of Afragolese vs Castrovillari?
Afragolese won 3-2 on October 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′ReginaldoAfragolese
- 37′?Afragolese
- 45′ReginaldoAfragolese
- 50′I. VarelaCastrovillari
- 65′I. VarelaCastrovillari
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afragolese have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Castrovillari have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2023 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Ragusa(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Città Di Sant’Agata(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Nuova Gioiese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2023 | Akragas(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Vibonese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Trapani 1905(home) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Ragusa(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Città Di Sant’Agata(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Afragolese score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castrovillari score 0.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Castrovillari | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy