Match

Catania vs Cavese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania

CataniaCavese

The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Cavese. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Catania vs Cavese?

On Elo ratings, Catania has 1,886 points and Cavese 1,799.

68%20%12%
Catania winDrawCavese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Catania vs Cavese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 99Flavio Russo
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 18N. Cavuoti
  3. 4A. Vallocchia
  1. 68M. Ierardi
  2. 5M. Perrotta
  3. 15M. Di Gennaro
  4. 32E. Masciangelo
  1. 57A. Dini

Cavese

4-3-3
  1. 24F. Orlando
  2. 82G. Fusco
  3. 8A. Diarrassouba
  1. 5T. Awua
  2. 20G. Esposito
  3. 4E. Visconti
  1. 25Manuel Peretti
  2. 23A. Fiordaliso
  3. 17F. Nunziata
  4. 28T. Mannucci
  1. 12V. Boffelli

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cavese have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026AZ Picerno(away)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Cavese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Barletta(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Casertana(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Savoia(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Potenza(away)2-4Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Sorrento(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Catania wins, 2 draws, 0 Cavese wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Catania 2-0 CaveseSerie C - Girone C
Aug 30, 2025Cavese 0-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Apr 12, 2025Cavese 0-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 30, 2024Catania 1-1 CaveseSerie C - Girone C
Mar 27, 2021Cavese 0-2 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 6, 2020Catania 1-1 CaveseSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Catania vs Cavese on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Catania1.51.638/1511/15
Cavese1.31.348/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Catania sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (16 points from 9 matches) and Cavese sit 10th (12 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Catania9513171016
10Cavese9333151512

A question about Catania vs Cavese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Catania vs Cavese?
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Cavese.
Where and when is Catania vs Cavese played?
Catania vs Cavese is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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