Catania vs Cavese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Cavese. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Catania vs Cavese?
Catania starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Cavese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| May 27, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-4 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Catania win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Cavese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Catania 2-0 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Cavese 0-1 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cavese 0-1 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Catania 1-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Cavese 0-2 Catania | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Catania 1-1 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Catania score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Catania sit 17th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Cavese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Catania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Catania vs Cavese?
- The Footlab model makes Catania the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Cavese.
- Where and when is Catania vs Cavese played?
- Catania vs Cavese is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.