Casertana vs Potenza: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, Caserta
The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Potenza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casertana wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casertana vs Potenza?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Casertana (1,891) and Potenza (1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casertana vs Potenza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casertana
4-3-3- 10J. Manconi
- 9D. Castelli
- 20A. Bentivegna
- 18S. Oukhadda
- 21F. Vezzoni
- 8S. Girelli
- 11G. Favale
- 23P. Martino
- 33G. Rocchi
- 4I. Kontek
- 1V. De Lucia
Potenza
4-3-3- 10G. D'Auria
- 30L. Petrungaro
- 70Gabriele Selleri
- 24A. Bando
- 8M. Castorani
- 77M. Ghisolfi
- 6G. Loiacono
- 26N. Kirwan
- 3L. Russo
- 47R. Bura
- 17T. Cucchietti
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casertana have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Potenza have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Giugliano(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bari(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bari(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Casertana win, 3 draws, 2 Potenza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Potenza 2-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Casertana 3-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Potenza 2-1 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Casertana 0-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Casertana 0-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Potenza 1-1 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Casertana score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casertana | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Potenza | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casertana sit 10th in Serie C - Girone C (17 points from 12 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (29 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 29 |
| 10 | Casertana | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
A question about Casertana vs Potenza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casertana vs Potenza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Potenza.
- Where and when is Casertana vs Potenza played?
- Casertana vs Potenza is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.