Caudal vs Astur: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, Mieres del Camino
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Astur. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caudal vs Astur?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caudal vs Astur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Astur
4-3-3- 9Marcos Iglesias
- 17Cristian Alonso Garcia
- 6Andrés Vicente Barrera Alvarado
- 21Javier Alonso González
- 8Carlos González Lorenzo
- 7Aser Benjamin Martin Lopez
- 14Santi Ramos
- 4Román LLavona Alvarez
- 5Miguel Astorgano Dominguez
- 20Diego Mon
- 1Sergio Delgado
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caudal have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Astur have 1, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mosconia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Siero(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Caudal win, 0 draws, 0 Astur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Astur 0-3 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Astur score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Astur | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 4/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caudal sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Astur sit 17th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Caudal vs Astur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caudal vs Astur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Astur.
- Where and when is Caudal vs Astur played?
- Caudal vs Astur is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.