Caxias vs Guarani Campinas: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 29, 2014 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Caxias vs Guarani Campinas?
Guarani Campinas won 0-1 on September 29, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 72′José Fernando FumagalliGuarani Campinas (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Madureira(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Tupi(home) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 24, 2014 | São Caetano(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 3-3 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 2, 2014 | Juventude(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Caxias win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Guarani Campinas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2014 | Guarani Campinas 1-1 Caxias | Serie C |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Guarani Campinas 0-1 Caxias | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2013 | Caxias 0-0 Guarani Campinas | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Guarani Campinas vs Caxias on Jul 29, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caxias sit 13th in Serie C (24 points from 18 matches) and Guarani Campinas sit 6th (27 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guarani Campinas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy