Tupi vs Duque de Caxias: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 28, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Tupi vs Duque de Caxias?
Tupi won 4-1 on September 28, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 28′HarisonDuque de Caxias (pen.)
- 63′Douglas De OliveiraTupi
- 65′Douglas De OliveiraTupi
- 74′Élder SantanaTupi (pen.)
- 85′ChicoTupi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tupi have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 4-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Madureira(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 5-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Caxias(away) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 30, 2014 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Juventude(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Tupi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Duque de Caxias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2014 | Duque de Caxias 1-1 Tupi | Serie C |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Duque de Caxias 2-1 Tupi | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Tupi 0-2 Duque de Caxias | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Duque de Caxias vs Tupi on Jul 26, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Tupi score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tupi | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy