CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 9Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico y Ciudad Madero
The Footlab model makes CDS Tampico Madero the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Dorados. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados?
CDS Tampico Madero starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CDS Tampico Madero have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dorados have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tapatío(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Piratas(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Venados FC(away) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 CDS Tampico Madero win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dorados win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero 2-0 Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Dorados 2-3 CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Dorados 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 23, 2024 | CDS Tampico Madero 4-3 Dorados | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CDS Tampico Madero score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dorados score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDS Tampico Madero | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dorados | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CDS Tampico Madero sit 10th in Liga de Expansión MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Dorados sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dorados | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | CDS Tampico Madero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | CDS Tampico Madero | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Dorados | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados?
- The Footlab model makes CDS Tampico Madero the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Dorados.
- Where and when is CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados played?
- CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Tamaulipas, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.