Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Ceahlăul, Piatra Neamţ
The Footlab model makes Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs USV Iaşi?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ (1,421) and USV Iaşi (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-5 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| May 2, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-4 | Liga II |
| Apr 25, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite(away) | 3-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ score 0.6 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs USV Iaşi played?
- Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ vs USV Iaşi is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Ceahlăul, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.