Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Odorheiu Secuiesc
The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Odorheiu Secuiesc (1,466) and Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odorheiu Secuiesc have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 0-5 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| May 2, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-4 | Liga II |
| Apr 25, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite(away) | 3-3 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
Odorheiu Secuiesc score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ score 0.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ?
- The Footlab model makes Odorheiu Secuiesc the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ.
- Where and when is Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ played?
- Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.