Ceara vs Floresta: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Floresta. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Floresta?
Ceara starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Floresta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Floresta
4-3-3- 11Rafinha
- 7Baianinho
- 19Matheus Lima
- 17Nonato
- 21Rafa Marcos
- 13Garraty
- 4Joao Victor
- 23Islan
- 16Zulu
- 29Caique
- 12Dheimison
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Floresta have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Ceara wins, 0 draws, 0 Floresta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Ceara 4-0 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Floresta 0-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Floresta 0-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Ceara 1-0 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Floresta score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Floresta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Floresta sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Floresta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Ceara vs Floresta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Floresta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Floresta.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Floresta played?
- Ceara vs Floresta is played on February 6, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.