Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Maracanã. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,923 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã?
Fortaleza EC starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,534).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortaleza EC
3-4-3- 16Pedro Henrique
- 91Francisco da Costa
- 77Paulo Baya
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 20Jaílson
- 22Maílton
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
- 6T. Cardona
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 1João Ricardo
Maracanã
Not enough data to predict the Maracanã lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Maracanã have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Imperatriz(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Imperatriz(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | IAPE(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 30, 2026 | Moto Club(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Parnahyba(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fortaleza EC wins, 1 draw, 0 Maracanã wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Fortaleza EC 3-0 Maracanã | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Maracanã 1-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maracanã score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Maracanã | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Maracanã sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza ECCearense: Regular season | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | MaracanãCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Maracanã.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã played?
- Fortaleza EC vs Maracanã is played on February 7, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.