Ceara vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-2 and analysis
Cearense - 1FinalsKick-off on October 1, 2020 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
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What was the result of Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?
Fortaleza EC won 1-2 on October 1, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 37′Bruno MeloFortaleza EC
- 45′Rafael Augusto Sóbis do NascimentoCeara
- 90′TingaFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | Goias(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Brusque(home) | 5-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 20, 2020 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Brusque(away) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ceara win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2020 | Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jul 16, 2020 | Ceara 1-2 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Ceara | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Ceara 2-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy