Horizonte vs Ceara: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on January 5, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, Horizonte, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Horizonte. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horizonte vs Ceara?
Ceara starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,547).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Horizonte vs Ceara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Horizonte
4-3-3- 7Betinho
- 9Willian Anicete
- 17Alison Araçoiaba
- 5Ramos
- 8Lauro
- 7Rogério
- 4Rafael
- 2Daelson
- 3Tiago Bettim
- 10Max
- 1Frank
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horizonte have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ceara have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Iguatu(away) | 1-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-4 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Iguatu(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Horizonte wins, 0 draws, 1 Ceara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Ceara 4-0 Horizonte | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Horizonte score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizonte | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horizonte sit 3rd in Cearense - 1 (5 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Horizonte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Horizonte vs Ceara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horizonte vs Ceara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Horizonte.
- Where and when is Horizonte vs Ceara played?
- Horizonte vs Ceara is played on January 5, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.