Ceara vs Fortaleza EC: result 2-0 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 5, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?
Ceara won 2-0 on March 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 10′Guilherme CastilhoCeara
- 23′ErickCeara (pen.)
Official lineup for Ceara vs Fortaleza EC
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ceara
- 63Vitor Gabriel
- 1Richard
- 8Arthur Rezende
- 11Erick
- 77Janderson
- 99Guilherme Castilho
- 180Richardson
- 3Tiago Pagnussat
- 4David Ricardo
- 17Warley
- 23Danilo Barcelos
Fortaleza EC
- 9J. Lucero
- 18S. Romero
- 3Brayan
- 17José Welison
- 22Yago Pikachu
- 26Sammuel
- 27Calebe
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 20Dudu
- 180Titi
- 1João Ricardo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | Caldense(away) | 3-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Fluminense PI(away) | 5-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 17, 2023 | CRB(away) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CSA(home) | 3-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 3-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ceara wins, 1 draw, 2 Fortaleza EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | Ceara 2-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Ceara 0-1 Fortaleza EC | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza EC | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Ceara | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 0-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 2nd in Copa do Nordeste (10 points from 5 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CearaGroup C | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Fortaleza ECGroup D | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy