Cefn Druids AFC vs Carmarthen Town: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rhosymedre Stadium, Rhosymedre
Full time
What was the result of Cefn Druids AFC vs Carmarthen Town?
Carmarthen Town won 1-3 on October 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 43′D. BrooksCarmarthen Town
- 67′Lee HealeyCefn Druids AFC
- 73′Luke ProsserCarmarthen Town
- 85′S. WaltersCarmarthen Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cefn Druids AFC have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Prestatyn Town(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Airbus UK(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2014 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Port Talbot Town(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Bangor City(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Bala Town(away) | 1-8 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cefn Druids AFC score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cefn Druids AFC | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy