Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sketty Lane, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Carmarthen Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Swansea University (1,557) and Carmarthen Town (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Swansea University win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Carmarthen Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | Swansea University 0-5 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Carmarthen Town 5-0 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Swansea University 0-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Carmarthen Town 2-0 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town on Mar 10, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea University sit 1st in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Carmarthen Town.
- Where and when is Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town played?
- Swansea University vs Carmarthen Town is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sketty Lane, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.