Celaya vs Deportiva Venados: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Deportiva Venados. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,221 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Deportiva Venados?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Celaya (1,979) and Deportiva Venados (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Deportiva Venados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Deportiva Venados
Not enough data to predict the Deportiva Venados lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Deportiva Venados have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(home) | 3-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-4 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Celaya wins, 2 draws, 1 Deportiva Venados win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados 2-2 Celaya | Primera Premier |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Deportiva Venados 1-1 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Celaya 1-2 Deportiva Venados | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Deportiva Venados vs Celaya on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Deportiva Venados score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportiva Venados | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 4th in Primera Premier (20 points from 10 matches) and Deportiva Venados sit 10th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celaya | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportiva Venados | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Celaya vs Deportiva Venados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Deportiva Venados?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Deportiva Venados.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Deportiva Venados played?
- Celaya vs Deportiva Venados is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.