Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna, Tuxtla Gutiérrez
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Jaguares de Chiapas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya?
Celaya starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaguares de Chiapas
Not enough data to predict the Jaguares de Chiapas lineup.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares de Chiapas have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Celaya have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 4-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jaguares de Chiapas win, 1 draw, 1 Celaya win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Celaya 0-1 Jaguares de Chiapas | Primera Premier |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Celaya 1-1 Jaguares de Chiapas | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Jaguares de Chiapas 0-1 Celaya | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Celaya vs Jaguares de Chiapas on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguares de Chiapas score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celaya score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares de Chiapas | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Celaya | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaguares de Chiapas sit 6th in Primera Premier (15 points from 9 matches) and Celaya sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celaya | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
A question about Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Jaguares de Chiapas.
- Where and when is Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya played?
- Jaguares de Chiapas vs Celaya is played on February 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.