Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica
The Footlab model makes Čelik the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Radnik Bijeljina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Čelik (1,499) and Radnik Bijeljina (1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Čelik have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Radnik Bijeljina have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Jun 6, 2026 | GOŠK Gabela(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 31, 2026 | Igman Konjic(home) | 4-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zrinjski(home) | 1-5 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 0-4 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Čelik win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Radnik Bijeljina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Čelik 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Čelik 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Radnik Bijeljina 2-1 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Čelik 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 15, 2018 | Radnik Bijeljina 0-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Čelik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Bijeljina score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Čelik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Čelik sit 10th in Premijer Liga (0 points from 3 matches) and Radnik Bijeljina sit 9th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 10 | Čelik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina?
- The Footlab model makes Čelik the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Radnik Bijeljina.
- Where and when is Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina played?
- Čelik vs Radnik Bijeljina is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bilino Polje, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.